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Population Estimates for Missouri and Across the U.S.

This Year

We have received the first cycle of county level estimates (in March) with estimates for each year 2010 to 2013. These are the components of change estimates. Later this year (June) we shall be adding estimates by age, sex, race and hispanic origin at the state and county level. In May we expect to get total pop estimates (only - no component or demographic detail) at the place (city) level.

The single-year bridged-race estimates from the NCHS (used on our Poptrends web application) should be released circa late August or early September.

Estimates Schedule

The Census Bureau estimates program has now made the transitition from a post-2000-census program (i.e. based on estimating change post-the 2000 census) to a post-2010-census program. See the official Bureau Schedule of New Estimates page to see what and when to expect the rest of this year and next.

See also: FAQ |  Census Bureau estimates page |  popests data (via Uexplore).

Our Best Estimates

  1. Access the Curmoests.xls Excel spreadsheet with the latest available population estimates for Missouri counties and places (incorporated cities). Last updated 5/29/13 with state, county and place estimates thru July 1, 2012. You can also get earlier versions of this spreadsheet with post-2000 estimates for the previous decade in the popests data directory.

  2. Run the MCDC's Population Estimates by Age web application to dynamically generate estimates by age, race, sex and hispanic origin for U.S. states and counties, for years 1990 to 2012 (or later). An alternate version of this application is the Census 2010 Version which delivers comparable demographic detail but only for years 2000 and 2010 - using actual census counts rather than July 1 estimates.

  3. Access various reports based on data in the popests data directory at http://mcdc.missouri.edu/pub/data/popests/Reports. This page provides links to both the reports and to the underlying datasets used to generate them.
  4. Estimates for Missouri, its counties and CBSA's thru July, 2012 are available with detail by age, race, sex and Hispanic origin. See comparable MCDC reports for any state in U.S. (Starting with the 2011 estimates there are also reports with summaries by state and the nation.)
  5. poptrends is a (highly recommended!) dynamic web application that can generate customized trends reports at the state or county level for various time periods. Change and Percent Change values, both total and annualized are shown to facilitate comparisons over time. You get to choose
    • the geography (states and/or counties for the entire U.S.)
    • time periods (intervals such as 1990-2000, 2000-2009 and 2008-2009)
    • demographic categories, based on age, race and ethnicity
    This application uses the detailed estimates from NCHS so the latest available data are for 2009 (as released in June, 2010).

  6. Maps of Missouri counties showing key trend items based on the 2009 estimates. The maps let you see the spatial distribution of the population with special focus on the black, Hispanic, 0-17 and 65+ sub-populations. Directory of map files also includes the underlying data (generated by the poptrends web application) in csv and pdf formats.

  7. Generate a brief report with bar chart showing annual population change for any US county from 2000 to 2013 (or most recently available year) using the MCDC's poptrend1 dynamic web application. (Clicking here will take you to a main menu for invoking the app.) (Once you have generated the report for a single county you can edit the URL, replacing the value of the co=XXX parm spec with co=all to generate a report with tables and graphs for all counties within the state.) If you omit the co= parm specification you get a report for the state. For example, here is how you get a report for Missouri.
  8. Access this report comparing postcensal and intercensal estimates at state and county levels for the decade 2000-2009. Good for getting a feel of how reliable the estimates were for that decade. This is actually a dynamic application that lets you choose your geography, years, and selected demographic characteristics.
  9. You can access state and county level population estimates with components of change, 2000-2009, for the entire U.S. in our data archive using the uexplore/dexter software. The datasets are in the popests data directory, most easily accessed via the Datasets.html directory page. The four relevant datasets are mocom09, uscom09, mocomrgrns09 and uscomcbsas09. The first two consist of state and county level summaries, while the latter two are the result of our aggregating the data to get metro area and other county-based region summaries. You can now (spring, 2012) access comparable data for 2010 and 2011 in the new popests datasets mocom11, uscom11, mocomrgrns11 and uscomcbsas11.
  10. Modified or created recently A new (spring, 2013) web site at the Applied Population Lab at the Univ of Wisconsin-Madison provides dynamic access to six decades of age-specific net migration data for all counties in the U.S. as well as 10 years of estimates by age-race and sex. Access the site at www.netmigration.wisc.edu .

  11. For information regarding projections (estimating the future) of the population for Missouri and the U.S. see our population projections web page. National and State Level Projections are available from the Census Bureau.

  12. An alternative set of state and county level estimates by age (single years), race, sex and hispanic origin that use an alternate set of 4 ("bridged") race categories (for comparability with pre-2000 race categories before the advent of multi-race groups) were commissioned by the National Center for Health Statistics. The MCDC has downloaded and converted these estimates, which include both intercensal estimates for the decade of the 90's as well as post-2000 estimates (paralleling the CASRH collection). Find out more about this collection at the NCHS Bridged Estimates Readme page. (From there you can follow the link at the bottom of the page to access the actual data.)
  13. Uexplore/Dexter users can access city-level estimates for Missouri (thru 2009) in the mosc09 dataset or data for the entire US (including Mo) are available in the ussc09 dataset. (Note: Dataset names here are links to invoke Dexter for accessing those datasets.) These data for 2009 were released in the summer of 2010.

  14. (This isn't exactly population estimates but we thought you'd want to know):
    Income (median household) and poverty estimates are produced by the Small Area Income and Poverty Estimates program at the Census Bureau. These intercensal estimates are available for states, counties and school districts. They can be easily accessed at the SAIPE web site. The Missouri Census Data Center has downloaded these estimates and created value-added datasets within the MCDC data archive. These can be accessed via our Uexplore/Dexter software in the saipe filetype directory.

  15. Population Trends Report, 1960-1995 Somewhat dated (the trend data stops at 1995) but still useful report collection with over 3000 county level reports. (If you would be interested in an updated version of this collection let us know by sending e-mail).

  16. See the Census Bureau's Population Estimates page for more reports and for access to downloadable data files. This is the ultimate and authoritative source for almost all population estimates in the United States. Nearly all of the data that appears on the MCDC site is (or could be) based on data downloaded from this site. (We already provided this link at the top of the page next to the FAQ link but it's important enough to mention it twice.)

  17. See our Geographic Reference Reports page for links to an array of reports dealing with geographic subjects, some of which include recent population estimates (such as the reports showing the most recent estimates for all U.S. metro- and micropolitan statistical areas.)

Population estimates are produced as part of the Federal State Cooperative Program for Population Estimates (FSCPE) Program and released by the U.S. Census Bureau. The person who produces population estimates in conjunction with the Census Bureau for Missouri is the state demographer (see contact info, below) in the Office of Administration.

For more information about population estimates and the Federal-State Cooperative Program for Population Estimates, contact:

Matt Hesser, State Demographer, Matt.Hesser@oa.mo.gov
Missouri Office of Administration, Jefferson City, MO

This file last modified Thursday March 27, 2014, 09:41:45


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